I love sticking my neck out on predictions, can't stay away from 2009 lok sabha elections too . Will see how the prediction hold with time.
Congress : 120-130
BJP : 140-150
BJP will gain in UP, Bihar, Jharkhand, Gujrat , assam will retain the 2004 seats in MP, uttarkhand , Himachal, Karnataka , Punjab, chatishgadh , Mahrastra , Arunachal and loose in Rajsthan
Congress will gain in Kerla, Bengal , Punjab , Rajsthan,bengal will loose in AP , Gujrat , Jharkhand , status quo in UP , haryana , karnataka, Maharastra.
SP will loose seats in UP but still get 20 + , BSP will get 25 + , net gainer will be BJP.
Overall i see a NDA goverment after May 16th.
Thursday, April 23, 2009
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Chandan's update
My predictions:
BJP around 140, NDA around 190
Congress around 150, UPA around 200
Govt formation is difficult to predict.
BTW, I don’t think BJP will gain anything in UP. It will stay around what it has (10- seats). BSP will gain at the expense of SP. BSP might go around 40 seats. Also, Bihar is going heavily in favor of BJP/NDA. Laloo’s party is going to lose big time. Laloo himself might be under pressure to retain his seat
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