Thursday, April 23, 2009

Election 2009 - My predictions as of 04/22

I love sticking my neck out on predictions, can't stay away from 2009 lok sabha elections too . Will see how the prediction hold with time.

Congress : 120-130

BJP : 140-150

BJP will gain in UP, Bihar, Jharkhand, Gujrat , assam will retain the 2004 seats in MP, uttarkhand , Himachal, Karnataka , Punjab, chatishgadh , Mahrastra , Arunachal and loose in Rajsthan

Congress will gain in Kerla, Bengal , Punjab , Rajsthan,bengal will loose in AP , Gujrat , Jharkhand , status quo in UP , haryana , karnataka, Maharastra.

SP will loose seats in UP but still get 20 + , BSP will get 25 + , net gainer will be BJP.


Overall i see a NDA goverment after May 16th.

1 comment:

Shashi Rai said...

Chandan's update

My predictions:

BJP around 140, NDA around 190

Congress around 150, UPA around 200



Govt formation is difficult to predict.



BTW, I don’t think BJP will gain anything in UP. It will stay around what it has (10- seats). BSP will gain at the expense of SP. BSP might go around 40 seats. Also, Bihar is going heavily in favor of BJP/NDA. Laloo’s party is going to lose big time. Laloo himself might be under pressure to retain his seat